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Real Estate Bubbles and California’s Economic Growth, Part 2

An economics presentation at Humboldt State University. Special guest lecturer Dr. Christopher Thornberg of Beacon Economics discusses the current housing bubble and its effects on California.

25 Responses to “Real Estate Bubbles and California’s Economic Growth, Part 2”

  1. brentintoronto Says:

    this video is old, from Nov 2006, before the bubble burst…the date of the lecture is at the beginning of the video.

  2. brentintoronto Says:

    this video is from Nov 2006, before the bubble burst.

  3. brentintoronto Says:

    he gave this talk in Nov 2006 — before the bubble burst!

  4. bajawind Says:

    never blame other for your stupidity. it’s all about you–on the way up (i am smart) and down (I am stupid)….it’s all made up.

  5. papatoony Says:

    DEATH TO GREENSPAN!

  6. BubbFromGEI Says:

    “People don’t think…” So very true. At the peak, people are so SURE that prices will go up, they stop thinking, and stop analysing. They feel comfortable buying, because they can see that the crowd is buying, and the crowd must know what it is doing, Right? Wrong. The crowd is a mindless beast, bent on excess.

  7. dieonyourfeetDEC16 Says:

    the bubble didn’t burst because people suddenly realized paying so much for a house was insane.ARMS reset,people with bad credit shaky income could not make payments FORECLOSED,at this point the party was OVER, banks lost liquidity and had to tightened credit,the artificial housing demand created by Easycredit dissapeared so prices had to fall.If no one foreclosed the bank would’ve kept lending and people borrowing,offcourse that is not feasible when you’re lending to anything that moves.

  8. FARTYPANTS30 Says:

    “Bubble are irrational markets. Asking a forecaster to tell you when a bubble is going to end is like asking a pshycologist what a crazy person is going to say next…”

    X-D ROFL!!!

  9. noraklagrangian Says:

    He’s talking mainly about real estate economic theory and using California house prices as an example.

  10. alanhowitzer Says:

    Freaking zone codes and boards.

  11. torpedodropkick Says:

    Boom then we have bust. Inflation gets too high u get high interest rates, which slows econmy and can bankrupt people and as a result a recession. Simple.

  12. theip2002 Says:

    This is exactly what I have been predicting! How can a 3 bed 2 bath home in So. Cal that was worth $250,000 in 1996 be worth $900,000 in 2006?? It just doesnt add up! There has to be a major correction with a family of young professionals making well over $100,000 a year can’t afford to buy a home within 40 miles of thier job due to inflated home prices!!

  13. MisterMark123 Says:

    Well, it looks like you’re alone in your opinion. Guess you’re smarter than everybody else.

  14. Kenzozo Says:

    I know neighborhoods with appreciation of more than 20% a year. Are you stupid or something? Only an idiot would buy any house and expect it to go up.

    Obviously his guy’s video is aimed at dumb people and stupid college students.

  15. Kenzozo Says:

    He sure makes it seem like he knew what was going to happen before it did.

  16. boss79 Says:

    He’s an economist, it’s his job to study what happened.

  17. mckirkus Says:

    Spot on, if you think he’s wrong buy now and see how your “investment” is doing next year.

  18. getl0st Says:

    This is all deliberately manipulated by the Federal Reserve and Internation Central Banks.

    Watch Money Masters and learn

  19. Kenzozo Says:

    It is funny. He says all of this after the fact. If he is such an expert in housing trends he would make a trillion dollars in 5 years.

  20. szxuzhou Says:

    really funny

  21. Kenzozo Says:

    I guess he didn’t make money of the recent boom and is pissed off. LOL

  22. bottleovodka Says:

    I don’t even think what he was doing can be called endorsement. More like hallucinating. He had just flat out lost his marbles when he said that.

  23. deathmetalpat Says:

    It was like saying that it was better to sell your stocks in Marck of 2000.Hindsight is always 20/20 but he endorsed ARM’s at the worst time now they are 25 billion a month resettig at much Higher rates!

  24. bottleovodka Says:

    LOL, so true.

  25. kiet619 Says:

    I am not going to buy, waiting for the price to drop below 100k.